Showing 1 - 10 of 1,640
This paper compares Bayesian decision theory with robust decision theory where the decision maker optimizes with respect to the worst state realization. For a class of robust decision problems there exists a sequence of Bayesian decision problems whose solution converges towards the robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765345
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003439730
This chapter reviews developments in the theory of decision making under risk and uncertainty, focusing on models that, over the last 40 years, dominated the theoretical discussions. It also surveys some implications of the departures from the “linearity in the probabilities” aspect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974728
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429741
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421391
Prior research suggests that those who rely on intuition rather than effortful reasoning when making decisions are less averse to risk and ambiguity. The evidence is largely correlational, however, leaving open the question of the direction of causality. In this paper, we present experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200793
A choice problem is risky (respectively ambiguous) if the decision maker is choosing between probability distributions (respectively sets of probability distributions) over utility relevant consequences. We provide an axiomatic foundation for and a representation of continuous linear preferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748628
Loss aversion postulates that people prefer avoiding losses over acquiring gains of equal size. It is a central part of prospect theory and, according to Daniel Kahneman, “the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics” (Kahneman, 2011, p. 300). It has powerful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487321