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In the past decades, risk management in the financial community has been dominated by data-intensive statistical methods which rely on short historical time series to estimate future risk. Many observers consider this approach as a contributor to the current financial crisis, as a long period of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702258
Many practitioners annualize VaR just like the standard deviation. We show that this approach is incorrect, and a more sophisticated formula should be used for deriving a periodic VaR from parameters of the daily returns distribution. Another problem addressed here is the distribution of daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117236
This paper discusses the way Value-at-Risk (VaR) measurement can be applied to oil refining, a fully liberalized industry which is largely exposed to price risk. After a description of the industry, the calculation of a single asset VaR, such for a crude oil purchase, it is introduced....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112466
This paper considers the problem of measuring the exposure to dependence risk carried by a portfolio with an arbitrary number of two-asset derivative contracts. We develop a worst-case risk measure computed over a set of dependence scenarios within a divergence restricted region. The set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902575
Multi-asset multi-factor portfolio allocation is typically centred around a risk-based allocation paradigm, often striving for maintaining equal volatility risk budgets. Given that the common factor ingredients can be highly skewed, we specifically incorporate the notion of tail risk management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893446
We revisit mean-risk portfolio selection in a one-period financial market where risk is quantified by a positively homogeneous risk measure ρ on L1. We first show that under mild assumptions, the set of optimal portfolios for a fixed return is nonempty and compact. However, unlike in classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823360
Various concepts appeared in the existing literature to evaluate the risk exposure of a financial or insurance firm/subsidiary/line of business due to the occurrence of some extreme scenarios. Many of those concepts, such as Marginal Expected Shortfall or Tail Conditional Expectation, are simply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968905