Neben den klassischen Performancemaßen, wie der Sharpe-Ratio, der Treynor-Ratio und dem Jensen-Alpha wurden in den letzten Jahrzehnten weiterführende Ansätze für die Analyse und Bewertung vonKapitalanlagen entwickelt. Die moderneren Performancemaße verlangen keine Konstanz derRisikomaße...

Traditional risk-adjusted performance measures, such as the Sharpe ratio, the Treynor index or Jensen’s alpha, based on the mean-variance framework, are widely used to rank mutual funds. However, performance measures that consider risk by taking into account only losses, such as Value-at-Risk...

We forecast monthly Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) using option market data and four different econometric techniques. Independently from the econometric approach used, all models produce quick to estimate forward-looking risk measures that do not depend from the amount...

This paper studies the tail risk of US equity markets in advance of the COVID-19 outbreak in February 2020, providing evidence that financial markets are informative about pandemic risk well in advance of the actual outbreak. Specifically, while the tail risk of the market index did not respond...

In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and currency market data, we analyse the accuracy of the...

An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the degree of non-linearity of the instruments comprised in the portfolio and thewillingness to make restrictive assumptions on the underlying statistical distributions, a...

Investors have traditionally relied on mean-variance analysis to determine a portfolio’s optimal asset mix, but they have struggled to incorporate private equity into this framework because they do not know how to estimate its risk. The observed volatility of private equity returns is...

This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...

This paper examines the properties of the gold risk premium. We estimate a parsimonious model for the gold risk premium and uncover important time variations in the dynamics of the risk premium. We also estimate risk premia of the stock and bond markets, and investigate the role of gold as a...

Risk driver contributions are key to understanding portfolio risk. Often, this is done by decomposing portfolio ‘volatility’. This is problematic in the presence of non-elliptical distributions. Some asset managers propose switching to value-at-risk (VaR) or expected shortfall (ES) as risk...