Emissions control cannot address the consequences of global warming for weather disasters until decades later. We model regional-level mitigation, which reduces aggregate disaster risks to capital stock in the interim. Unexpected disaster arrivals increase belief regarding the adverse...

This paper models the stochastic behavior of large-scale terrorist events using extreme value methods. We utilize a unique dataset composed of roughly 24,000 observations. These data provide a rich description of domestic and international terrorism between 1968 and 2005. Currently a credible...

This paper addresses two questions about the morality of warfare: (1) how much risk must soldiers take to minimize unintended civilian casualties caused by their own actions (“collateral damage”), and (2) whether it is the same for the enemy's civilians as for one's own. The questions take...

In 2018, Congress tasked the U.S. Coast Guard with developing a Risk Assessment Model for Maritime Cybersecurity. The Act requires the Coast Guard to consult with the National Maritime Security Advisory Committee in developing the Model. This paper collects relevant background information on the...

This paper studies the impact of counter-party default risk of forward contracts on a firm's production and hedging decisions. Using a model of a risk-averse competitive firm under price uncertainty, it derives several fundamental results. If expected profits from forward contracts are zero, the...

Multiple delivery specifications exist on nearly all commodity futures contracts. Sellers are typically allowed to choose among several grades of the underlying commodity. On the delivery day, the futures price converges to the spot price of the cheapest-to-deliver grade rather than to that of...

A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...

Since the introduction of the European CO2 emissions trading system (EU ETS), the development of CO2 allowance prices is a new risk factor for enterprises taking part in this system. In this paper, we analyze how risk emerging from emissions trading can be considered in the stochastic profit and...

The industrial organization approach to banking is applied to analyze theeffects of the introduction of joint credit and interbank rate risk on the optimaldecisions on deposits and loans of a competitive bank. It is found that dueto the introduction of both sources of risk there appear direct...