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producing fan charts that better communicates the uncertainty present in forecasts from multivariate time series models. Second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989353
In this paper, the time-frequency dependency of political risk as well as economic and financial risks is explored in Venezuela using quarterly data from 1984Q1 to 2018Q4. The present study uses the wavelet coherence technique, which allows the investigation of both the long and short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256023
We provide an extreme value analysis of the returns of Bitcoin. A particular focus is on the tail risk characteristics and we will provide an in-depth univariate extreme value analysis. Those properties will be compared to the traditional exchange rates of the G10 currencies versus the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935265
We develop a general equilibrium model of self-fulfilling bank runs in a setting without aggregate risk. The key novelty is the way in which the banking system’s assets and liabilities are connected. Banks issue loans to entrepreneurs who sell goods to (impatient) households, which in turn pay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406490
We develop a general equilibrium model of self-fulfilling bank runs in a setting without aggregate risk. The key novelty is the way in which the banking system’s assets and liabilities are connected. Banks issue loans to entrepreneurs who sell goods to households, which in turn pay for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239452
It takes multiple decades of commitment and credibilityto create repute but only a few seconds to tarnish it, as the instancesof misinformation, disinformation and malinformation galore. Inlight of this, Central banks, as delicate and sensitive public institu-tions, are significantly vulnerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014566384
On 16th November 2009, SUERF, CEPS and the Belgian Financial Forum coorganized a conference "Crisis management at cross-roads" in Brussels. All papers in the present volume are based on contributions at the conference and the SUERF Annual Lecture which followed the event.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011706117
SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum, the Deutsche Bundesbank and the Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) took the opportunity of the first anniversary of this new institution to organise a joint conference in Berlin on 8-9 November 2011. The purpose of this event was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711529
This paper discusses reputational risk in the context of central banking and explains why it matters to central banks. It begins with a general discussion of reputational risk within the broader framework of risk management. It then outlines how central banks define, measure, monitor and manage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384150
The traditional approach to the stress testing of financial institutions focuses on capital adequacy and solvency. Liquidity stress tests have been applied in parallel to and independently from solvency stress tests, based on scenarios which may not be consistent with those used in solvency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828230