Showing 1 - 10 of 7,325
The insurance industry could potentially play a greater constructive role in mitigating climate risk by aligning with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254725
Climate risk impacts the insurance industry on both sides of the balance sheets. On the one hand, rising weather …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254839
determinants for sovereign recovery risk. Guided by theoretically backed hypotheses we use a sample of 102 past restructurings and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856237
We provide a new measure of sovereign country risk exposure to global sovereign tail risk (SCRE) based on information … monetary policy. We show that our risk exposure variable reacts significantly more than mean (median) CDS spreads to macro …-financial risks. Our results therefore imply that good fundamentals protect countries against sovereign risk especially in times of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050575
As interest rate-growth differentials (r-g) turned negative in many countries, governments consider pursuing fiscal expansion and the potential risks involved. Using a large sample of advanced and emerging economies, our analysis suggests that high public debts can lead to adverse future r-g...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014092359
would have to change significantly to allow an investor or regulator to make a realistic attempt at measuring a firm's risk … and even more so any potential systemic risk. But there is no way that an accounting system that is based on measurements … systemic risk even for a single firm we would need massive amounts of detailed data that few market participants would be able …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112179
Gordon Tullock denied the scientific status to economics because economists can trade results with the subject of our analysis, e.g., “you can have a low estimate for nothing but a high one will cost you something.” We suppose this to be the fate all disciplines in which the results matter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139199
Commodity prices are an important driver of fiscal policy and the business cycle in many developing and emerging market economies. We analyze a dynamic stochastic small-open-economy model of sovereign default, featuring endogenous fiscal policy and stochastic commodity revenues. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960198
risk management in restructuring sovereign debt. The scenario dynamics of debt-to-GDP ratio are used to define a tail risk … measure, termed "conditional Debt-at-Risk". A multi-period stochastic programming model minimizes the expected cost of debt … financing subject to risk limits. It provides an operational model to handle significant aspects of debt restructuring: it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006075
uncertainty, with endogenous risk and term premia. Using a coherent risk measure we trade off debt stock and flow risks subject to … critical for sustainability. The model quantifies minimum refinancing risk and maximum rate of debt reduction that a sovereign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851344