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The risk of recurrent outbreaks following the main waves of a pandemic has been acknowledged. We provide evidence of … the scale and duration of this outbreak risk. We compile municipal public health records and use national data to model … the stochastic process of mortality rates after the main pandemic waves of two historical pandemics across multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698777
We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections by using an asset-pricing framework that accounts for vaccines. Infections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834259
We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237974
We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the … epidemic hazard prediction, we use data from 2014-2019 to compute measures for exposure, vulnerability, and resilience of the … local economy to the shock of an epidemic. Using a battery of proxies for these four concepts, we calculate the hazard (the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156716
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177805
We present an industry classification–level model of economic activities in terms of (1) risk of the novel coronavirus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830008
international organizations improve management of the risks associated with pandemics, since reduction of pandemic risk remains a …This study examines pandemic risk, what it means for development, and how management could be improved, both in … countries and internationally. Widely held beliefs???the inevitability of pandemics, which makes them not worth worrying about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012560384
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013431747