Reverse stress tests are a relatively new stress test instrument that aims at finding exactly those scenarios that cause a bank to cross the frontier between survival and default. Afterward, the scenario which is most probable has to be identified. This paper sketches a framework for a...

We propose a semiparametric measure to estimate systemic interconnectedness across financial institutions based on tail-driven spill-over effects in a ultra-high dimensional framework. Methodologically, we employ a variable selection technique in a time series setting in the context of a...

The purpose of the transparency on the risk profile of non-equity investment products is to allow investors to take informed investment decisions. In an international framework characterized by an increasing globalization of markets and a growing integration of banking, asset management and...

Purpose: The liquefied natural gas (LNG) business comprises a number of economic activities with inherent risks. This paper proposes an integrated modelling approach, as part of the investment decision making process, for optimising economic returns from LNG whilst taking into account...

In this work, we propose an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model with standard classical tempered stable (CTS) innovations for historical daily returns of 29 selected stocks. The non-Gaussian nature of the innovations captures the fat-tail property observed in data. The dependency between different assets...

A recently introduced accounting standard, namely the International Financial Reporting Standard 9, requires banks to build provisions based on forward-looking expected loss models. When there is a significant increase in credit risk of a loan, additional provisions must be charged to the income...

AI artificial intelligence brings about new quantitative techniques to assess the state of an economy. Here we describe a new measure for systemic risk: the Financial Risk Meter (FRM). This measure is based on the penalization parameter (λ) of a linear quantile lasso regression. The FRM is...

The interaction of capital and risk for trading and treasury units is of primary interest in the corporate governance of banks as it links operational profitability and strategic risk management. During the financial crisis, several banks' trading units suffered significantly higher losses than...

Reverse stress tests are a relatively new stress test instrument that aims at finding exactly those scenarios that cause a bank to cross the frontier between survival and default. Afterward, the scenario which is most probable has to be identified. This paper sketches a framework for a...

We introduce an innovative theoretical framework for the valuation and replication of derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on credit and debit valuation adjustments (CVA and...