Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management - in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature,...

Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management -- in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature,...

Agricultural production is subject to supply risk. Expected and realized farm outputs and output prices are unknown and unobservable when inputs are chosen. Crop and livestock production decisions are linked over time. Producers expectations are particularly difficult to model. This paper...

This paper studies the use of information for incentives and risk sharing in agency problems. When the principal is risk neutral or the outcome is contractible, risk sharing is unnecessary or completely taken care of by a contract on the outcome. In this case, information systems are ranked...

Catastrophe bonds (cat bonds) often use index triggers, such as, for instance, parametric descriptions of a catastrophe. This implies the problem of the so-called basis risk, resulting from the fact that, in contrast to traditional reinsurance, this kind of coverage cannot be a perfect hedge for...

Controversy exists about the act of giving as altruistic instead of self-interested behavior. Each side of this argument interprets similar results from similar experiments in different ways. One side argues the results show that the appearance of altruistic behavior can be explained by...

This work is a part of an ongoing research that addresses the issue of exploring a risk profile of Project Financing (PF) mechanism and Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects for infrastructure development and focuses on developing a risk analysis framework for the Kazakhstani PPP market. To...

We formulate a robust theory of liquidity and risk management based on two fundamental frictions: 1) the entrepreneur cannot alienate his human capital, and 2) the entrepreneur worries about model uncertainty and seek robust decisions. In line with max-min expected utility, a robust entrepreneur...

To avert the impending global Cyber-Finance Insurance Crisis based upon large-scale commercial reliance upon quantitative models with inherent model risks, tail risks, and systemic risks in current form, this post-doctoral thesis makes the following key contributions: Develops the first known...

Prior research has documented that the market responds to quarterly updates to annual risk factor disclosures at the time of release, suggesting quarterly risk factor updates provide informational value to investors. In this study, we examine whether future returns are associated with quarterly...