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or long-term unemployment, may occur during working years. Personal disaster risk alters lifetime ex-ante investment …This paper examines households' self-insurance in financial markets when a rare personal disaster, such as disability … choices, even if most workers will not experience a disaster. Uncertainty about the size of human capital losses, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793436
potentially large permanent shock to earnings. Personal disaster risk allows to match moderate risk-taking of young investors and … personal disaster, such as long-term unemployment or disability, during working years. Such a disaster entails an uncertain but … a flat investment profile in age, observed in the United States, when the calibration of both the disaster probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256911
To effectively cope with an unexpected, large, and negative income shock, I propose a life-cycle model for income risk … generalizing the Arrow-Debreu price with income risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852393
consistent with theories that emphasize globally shared disaster risk and time-varying disaster risk as important driving forces …This paper examines whether rare disaster can predict stock returns. We construct an aggregate rare disaster index by … imposing the partial least square (PLS) approach on six news-implied rare disaster proxies of Manela and Moreira (2017). Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900931
We propose a news-implied rare disaster risk indicator and study its predictive power on the returns of U.S. Treasury … not spanned by the current yield curve. The disaster risk factor delivers a counter cycle bond risk premium, and the … predictability of disaster risk is more significant during periods of economic downturn. Our empirical findings show that disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860176
Using detailed micro-level data, we show that individuals' beliefs about climate change influence their choice and level of flood insurance coverage. Our empirical strategy exploits the heterogeneous impact of widening partisan polarization on climate change beliefs after the 2016 general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842393
labor-income risk can explain much of this risk-taking pattern. Uncontrollable labor-income risk stresses middle …, middle-income households reduce (controllable) financial risk. Richer households, having less pressure, can afford more risk …-taking. The poor take low risk because they avoid jeopardizing their subsistence consumption. …
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