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It is difficult to predict stock market returns but relatively easy to predict market volatility. But volatility … produces a formula in which returns become a function of volatility and therefore become somewhat more predictable. We show … strategy also smooths out volatility variation over time, reduces the kurtosis of daily returns, reduces maximum drawdown, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138918
than 30% of SP500 securities can have percentage change in volatility of more than 10% as a result of noise filtering …, variances (diagonal elements of the covariance matrix - squares of volatility) contain noise as well. Our noise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060877
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025361
This study explores the stylized facts, volatility clustering, other highly irregular behaviour, and risk measures of … there was confirmed existence of volatility clusters when high volatility periods are followed by low volatility periods … expect in the worst case scenario. Our results confirm the existence of predictability, volatility clustering, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420375
macro fundamentals, utilising methods that account for parameter uncertainty and stochastic volatility. We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256948
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015049178
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630286
We formulate a robust theory of liquidity and risk management based on two fundamental frictions: 1) the entrepreneur cannot alienate his human capital, and 2) the entrepreneur worries about model uncertainty and seek robust decisions. In line with max-min expected utility, a robust entrepreneur...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823614
. Accordingly, investors often want to minimize downside volatility as a part of their portfolio planning. Investors already have … several tools to measure downside volatility, including the lower partial moment and the maximum drawdown. The performance … Index is a volatility measure that only captures continuous downside movements in share price, and ignores upside volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746020