Showing 1 - 10 of 1,971
For the last several years, the price of listed real estate stocks has been unusually high relative to dividends. We explore whether low interest rates or low risk premia can account for the high valuation ratios and find that they cannot. Lower interest rates have been offset by rising risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957559
This paper uses analysts' forecasts to estimate a share's equity duration, a measure of a company's average cash-flow … might be a compensation for the value firms' higher exposure to cash-flow risk. -- equity duration ; value premium … ; analysts' forecasts ; B/M ratio ; cashflow risk ; discount rate risk ; implied cost of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009671858
firms have lower cash-flow beta and higher discount-rate beta than firms with high leverage. Although cash-flow beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139915
We characterize and measure a long-term risk-return trade-off for the valuation of cash flows exposed to fluctuations in macroeconomic growth. This trade-off features risk prices of cash flows that are realized far into the future but continue to be reflected in asset values. We apply this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962927
We develop an intertemporal asset pricing model where cash flow news, discount rate news, and their second moments are priced by the market. This model generalizes the market return decomposition framework, showing that intertemporal considerations imply a decomposition of squared market returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901111
minus overvalued) but is not significant in cheap junk minus expensive quality stocks. If cash-flow beta is the source of … the value premium, we would expect a larger cash-flow beta difference between the cheap quality and expensive junk … that the cash flow beta may only spuriously explain the value premium. Or, at least, the cash-flow risk premium estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911648
Under linear approximations for asset prices and the assumption of independence between expected consumption growth and time-varying volatility, long-run risks models imply constant market prices of risks and often generate counterfactual results about asset return and cash flow predictability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011540
The equity term structure is downward sloping at long maturities. I show, through an ICAPM estimation, that the tradeoff between market and reinvestment risk explains this pattern. Intuitively, while long-term dividend claims are highly exposed to market risk, they are also good hedges for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963382
Based on the insight that risk exposure as quantified in the consumption based asset pricing model (CCAPM) is linearly proportional to the cash flow growth rate, we introduce a discounted cash flow model with a time-varying expected return structure matching the implicitly assumed risk exposure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487967
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003842643