Showing 1 - 10 of 12,431
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks … traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …-form and structural models of stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
We introduce a discrete-time model for log-return dynamics with observable volatility and jumps. Our proposal extends … the class of Realized Volatility heterogeneous auto-regressive gamma (HARG) processes adding a jump component with time … compensating for equity, volatility, and jump risks, the generating function under the risk-neutral measure inherits analytical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904165
We introduce a stochastic volatility model with self-exciting jump intensity to capture the change in pricing dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088630
one-month variance swap rate, i.e., the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) accurately. Our research suggests that one should use … premium. Empirical estimation exercises show that the GARCH option-pricing models under our mLRNVR are able to price the SPX …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174118
In electricity markets, futures contracts typically function as a swap since they deliver the underlying over a period … averaging results in geometric swap price dynamics. Our framework allows for including typical features as the Samuelson effect …, seasonalities, and stochastic volatility. In particular, we investigate the pricing procedures for electricity swaps and options in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216375
portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses … nonparametric. New confidence intervals quantify the term structure estimation error. The framework is applied to estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily accommodates unspanned factors affecting volatility and risk …, volatility, and risk premium dynamics — including when interest rates are close to the zero lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764
The shape of the VIX term structure conveys information about the price of variance risk rather than expected changes in the VIX, a rejection of the expectations hypothesis. A single principal component, Slope, summarizes nearly all this information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937549
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure … of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities … significance from the no-arbitrage prices and bounds implied by the variance swap market. The paper examines these pricing errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683