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of trade breaks the hedging opportunities coming from international trade in goods. In contrast, the appreciation of the … real exchange rate generates new hedging opportunities in international financial markets for both countries. Therefore …
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Stocks that hedge against sustained market downturns — periods from peak to trough in S&P500 levels at the business cycle frequency — should have low expected returns, but they do not. We use ex-ante firm characteristics and covariances to construct a tradeable Safe Minus Risky (SMR)...
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