Effective capital budgeting decisions require reliable estimates of long-term expected returns. I extract a predictor for long-term returns from the book-to-market ratio by controlling for its variation associated with long-term expected profitability. The resulting predictor reliably describes...

Studies have shown that markets may underprice sub-national governments' risk on the implicit assumption that these entities would be bailed out by their central government in case of financial difficulties. However, the question of whether sovereigns pay a premium on their own borrowing as a...

Studies have shown that markets may underprice sub-national governments’ risk on the implicit assumption that these entities would be bailed out by their central government in case of financial difficulties. However, the question of whether sovereigns pay a premium on their own borrowing as a...