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I develop and test a model to study the interaction between the commodity and stock markets. This study attempts to clarify the debate about the effect of financialization on commodity markets. Theoretically, the futures risk premium is determined by hedging pressure, stock market returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851801
Risk premia are related to price probability ratios or for continuous time pure jump processes the ratios of jump arrival rates under the pricing and physical measures. The variance gamma model is employed to synthesize densities with risk premia seen as the ratio of the three parameters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018782
to decompose the rental yield into three components: expected future rent growth, cost of capital and risk premium of … components. Our results show that the cost of capital is playing a vital role in all the four major cities, while the future rent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717655
The mechanism behind price formation in electricity futures markets is still under discussion. Theory suggests that hedging pressure caused by deviating risk preferences is the most promising approach. This paper contributes to this discussion through an empirical investigation of electricity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003858199
Electricity is not storable. As a consequence, electricity demand and supply need to be in balance at any moment in time as a shortage in production volume cannot be compensated with supply from inventories. However, if the installed power supply capacity is very flexible, variation in demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381018
of the derivative, but also the probability of default of a counterparty. Another complication arises in the calculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358352
We show that liquidity risk is priced in the cross section of returns on credit default swaps (CDSs). We measure CDS market illiquidity by aggregating deviations of credit index levels from their no-arbitrage values implied by the index constituents' CDS spreads, and we construct a tradable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258589
Whilst the benefits of forward contracting for goods and services have been extensively researched in terms of mitigating market power effects in spot markets, we analyse how the risk in spot price formation induces a counteracting premium in the contract prices. We consider and test a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128162
This paper proposes an affine-based approach which jointly captures the nominal interest rate, the real interest rate, and the inflation risk premium to price inflation-indexed derivatives, including zero-coupon inflation-indexed swaps, year-on-year inflation-indexed swaps, inflation-indexed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113849