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We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...
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of Statistics, 1954). This idea is also reflected in developments in artificial intelligence (AI). However, there are …
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We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In …
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