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Endogenously optimistic beliefs about future house prices can account for the path and standard deviation of house prices in the U.S. housing boom of the 2000s. In a general equilibrium model with incomplete markets and aggregate risk, agents form beliefs about future house prices in response to...
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This paper discusses the development of drone insurance and its market. Specifically, we examine drone regulations and …
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better than stock and bond market indicators in forecasting U.S. GDP growth. We find that while U.S. World Uncertainty Index … (frequency) forecasts U.S. GDP growth well, U.S. stock market excess returns perform better as a predictor. Excluding the COVID … highlight that both world uncertainty indices and financial market variables are important indicators to gauge the health of the …
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We find that banks' credit exposures to transition risks are modest. We build on the estimated sectoral effects of climate transition policies from general equilibrium models. Even when we consider the strictest policies or the most adverse scenarios, exposures do not exceed 14 percent of banks'...
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Numerous studies, in particular for the US, have shown that individuals in occupations with high injury risk are compensated for that risk by corresponding bonus payments. At the same time, male workers are overrepresented in the most dangerous occupations like scaffolders or miners, while...
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Research examining natural disaster costs on social and economic systems is substantial. However, there are few empirical studies that seek to quantify the uncertainty and establish confidence intervals surrounding natural disaster cost estimates (ex-post). To better frame the data limitations...
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