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We propose a multicountry quantile factor augmeneted vector autoregression (QFAVAR) to model heterogeneities both across countries and across characteristics of the distributions of macroeconomic time series. The presence of quantile factors allows for summarizing these two heterogeneities in a...
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find that a one standard deviation shock to macroeconomic uncertainty generates declines in state-level total factor …
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oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these … data. The parameterized model is then used to simulate a macro uncertainty shock, which produces a rapid drop and rebound … medium term the increased volatility from the shock induces an overshoot in output, employment and productivity. Thus, second …
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