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We propose an approach for jointly measuring global macroeconomic uncertainty and bilateral spillovers of uncertainty between countries using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. Over the period 2000Q1-2020Q4, our global index is able to summarize a variety of uncertainty measures, such...
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How does risk or uncertainty in the productivity of research affect the growth rate of the economy? To answer this …&D from profit-maximizing firms. The uncertainty arises from the productivity of these investments in R&D. The main result of … this analysis is that the relationship between long-run growth and uncertainty (on the productivity of knowledge creation …
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