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learning. In repeat-choice situations, such learning brings value. If probabilities appear favorable (unfavorable), a choice …, decision makers often prove to be blind to the learning opportunities offered by uncertain probabilities. They forgo …, many make choices contrary to learning. Priming with optimal strategies offers little improvement. Such decision makers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011049682
dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
Ambiguous prospects are ubiquitous in social and economic life, but the psychological foundations of behavior under ambiguity are still not well understood. One of the most robust empirical regularities is the strong correlation between attitudes towards ambiguity and compound risk which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544917
Ambiguous prospects are ubiquitous in social and economic life, but the psychological foundations of behavior under ambiguity are still not well understood. One of the most robust empirical regularities is the strong correlation between attitudes towards ambiguity and compound risk which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551421
We analyze fiscal consolidations using a New Keynesian model where agents have heterogeneous expectations and are uncertain about the composition of consolidations. We look at spending-based and tax-based consolidations and analyze their effects separately. We find that the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770688
Predictions under common knowledge of payoffs may differ from those under arbitrarily, but finitely, many orders of mutual knowledge; Rubinstein's (1989)Email game is a seminal example. Weinstein and Yildiz (2007) showed that the discontinuity in the example generalizes: for all types with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159030
With a market entry game inspired by Camerer and Lovallo (1999), we study the attitudes of junior and senior employees towards strategic uncertainty and competition. Seniors exhibit higher entry rates compared to juniors, especially when the market capacity is not too low or when earnings from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665916
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202652
We consider an experimental setting where agents receive one stylized piece of information at a time about the value of a lottery. We find that Knightian uncertainty about the prior distribution of true lottery values does not hamper decision making by agents and markets. On a mean squared error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203658
In traditional sequential search models, players face ex ante uncertainty prior to each search but obtain certain outcomes after the search. The players' reservation value tends to decrease with their level of risk aversion. We propose a modified sequential search model with ex post uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082556