In this paper a two-component volatility model based on the component's first moment is introduced to describe the dynamic of speculative return volatility. The two components capture the volatile and persistent part of volatility respectively. Then the model is applied to 10 Asia-Pacific stock...

We describe a novel currency investment strategy, the ‘dollar carry trade,’ which delivers large excess returns, uncorrelated with the returns on well-known carry trade strategies. Using a no-arbitrage model of exchange rates we show that these excess returns compensate U.S. investors for...

Using the approach of Pettengill et al. (1995), we analyze the un-conditional versus conditional cross-sectional CAPM relationship between portfolio beta-risk and return in the Argentinean, Brazilian, Chilean, and Mexican stock markets. We develop extensi

We investigate the impact of short-sale and margin-purchase on stock price crash risk in the Chinese markets. China lifted bans on short-sale and margin-purchase for stocks on an expanding designated list since March 2010. Results of difference in different tests reveal that the removal of bans...

This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...

Using the announcement of the first Greek bailout on April 11, 2010, we quantify significant spillover effects from sovereign to corporate credit risk in Europe. A ten percent increase in sovereign credit risk raises corporate credit risk on average by 1.1 percent after the bailout. These...

This paper examines the relationships between market risk premiums, time-varying variance and covariance in forty-eight emerging, and seven developed capital markets. We allow each market's risk premium generating process to be state-dependent by accounting for negative and positive market price...

According to recent research, diversification across risk factors (or investment styles) proves to be more efficient than traditional asset class diversification. In this paper, we take the next step and show that it is economically worthwhile to combine risk factors in a dynamic manner, in a...

This paper is the first which studies extreme risk factor movements of Euro area sovereign bonds, whose prices are largely determined by risk factors representing interest rate risk, credit risk and market liquidity risk. Starting model independently from fundamental no-arbitrage relationships,...

The relative strength of the U.S. dollar does not explain the cross-section of expected returns. We find, however, that signed sensitivity of individual firms' returns to moves in dollar strength matters for asset pricing. A portfolio that goes long high-dollar-sensitivity stocks and short...