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(1) level and risk dynamics. The latter includes (2) tail risk and crisis probability as well as (3) the Volatility …) undercapitalized sectors (8) time-varying risk premia, and (9) the external funding premium are part of the analysis. Financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024265
endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
What has been the effect of uncertainty shocks in the U.S. economy over the last century? What are the historical roles of the financial channel and monetary policy channel in propagating uncertainty shocks? Our empirical strategies enable us to distinguish between the effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870783
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798791
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705247
Trust companies generate leverage cycle dynamics by intermediating less regulated credit to the financial markets in China. We find that the leverage factor constructed from trust companies can explain the time-series and cross-sectional asset returns. The leverage factor derived from securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850120
market risk, and two typical event study approaches (the mean-adjusted-return approach and the market model approach). For … structural breaks in the data. Our results indicate that the event day return effect is partly justified by the risk and/or the … risk premium on that day …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829650
markets via the discount rate effect, resulting in a higher risk premium. Our results are important for investors, corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830560
This paper deals with the estimation of the risk-return trade-off. We use a MIDAS model for the conditional variance … and allow for possible switches in the risk-return relation through a Markov-switching specification. We find strong … evidence for regime changes in the risk-return relation. This finding is robust to a large range of specifications. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225468
Actuaries manage risk, and asset price volatility is the most fundamental parameter in models of risk management. This … securities during the period 1999–2005. We find that discrete jumps contribute between 15% and 25% of total asset risk for all … equity index futures, and between 45% and 75% of total risk for Treasury bond futures. Jumps occur roughly once every five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940403