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(1) level and risk dynamics. The latter includes (2) tail risk and crisis probability as well as (3) the Volatility …) undercapitalized sectors (8) time-varying risk premia, and (9) the external funding premium are part of the analysis. Financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024265
endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
What has been the effect of uncertainty shocks in the U.S. economy over the last century? What are the historical roles of the financial channel and monetary policy channel in propagating uncertainty shocks? Our empirical strategies enable us to distinguish between the effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870783
reformulation of risk reward concepts in these terms. It is shown the exponential variation replaces the mean as a reward concept …. Risk is measured by the shaves and add-ons implicit in the bid and ask prices of two price economies. An analysis of … markets reveals that these two sided risk measures significantly impact rewards in the markets for stocks, stock spreads, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967217
.g., Profitability and Investment) perform particularly well when traditional portfolios (e.g., 60/40 or risk parity portfolios) exhibit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354618
This paper deals with the estimation of the risk-return trade-off. We use a MIDAS model for the conditional variance … and allow for possible switches in the risk-return relation through a Markov-switching specification. We find strong … evidence for regime changes in the risk-return relation. This finding is robust to a large range of specifications. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225468
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be … risk are priced in option markets. The results of the paper clearly indicate that stock market regime shifts constitute … significant sources of risk which are priced in option markets. Ignoring these sources of risks will lead to significant option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
Trust companies generate leverage cycle dynamics by intermediating less regulated credit to the financial markets in China. We find that the leverage factor constructed from trust companies can explain the time-series and cross-sectional asset returns. The leverage factor derived from securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850120
markets via the discount rate effect, resulting in a higher risk premium. Our results are important for investors, corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830560
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705247