Studies mainly focus on measuring the uncertainty of economic policy in different countries. However, few studies have focused on the construction of an environmental policy uncertainty index (EPUI). This study selects 460 newspapers from the China National Knowledge Infrastructure newspaper...

This paper studies the behaviors of uncertainty through the lens of several popular models of expectation formation. The full-information rational expectations model (FIRE) predicts that both the ex ante uncertainty and the variance of ex post forecast errors are equal to the conditional...

Models of microeconomic consumption (including those used in heterogeneous-agent macroeconomic models) typically calibrate the size of income risk to match panel data on household income dynamics. But, for several reasons, what is measured as risk from such data may not correspond to the risk...

In this paper, we employ a unique tax experiment and dataset in a highly salient tax rate environment to examine consumer response to complex and uncertain tax reforms. Tax reforms raise some fundamental questions in public finance: How does consumption respond to tax change? How is the tax...

We study how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) influences firms' overseas investment in Chinese listed companies. We find a significant negative relationship between EPU and firms' overseas investment after controlling for firm characteristics and macroeconomic variables. Chinese firms seem to...