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election, and a Condorcet losing candidate wins with positive probability. Finally, some candidates who reach the second round …
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investments decrease by 4.36% in parliamentary election years. Moreover, investment responses to electoral shocks differ markedly … resume in post-election years. The electoral effect results in a net loss in investment over the election cycle …
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election. We show that this fact can be explained by a combination of policy inertia and unpredictability in election outcomes …
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Estimating difference-in-differences models on a comprehensive dataset of Italian companies, we provide novel insights into the literature on political uncertainty and firm investment. We first establish that local political uncertainty leads to declining investment. Next, we show that family...
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