This paper examines the relation between variations in perceived inflation uncertainty and bond premia. Using the subjective probability distributions available in the Survey of Professional Forecasters we construct a quarterly time series of average individual uncertainty about inflation...

Recent research in macroeconomics has sought to develop a tractable form of heterogeneity in attempting to model sluggishness of response of the economy consistent with data. Sims (2003) argued that limited information processing was a promising avenue for understanding pervasive stickiness....

This paper shows that the optimal monetary policies recommended by New Keynesian models still imply a large amount of inflation risk. We calculate the term structure of inflation uncertainty in New Keynesian models when the monetary authority adopts the optimal policy. When the monetary policy...