The complexity resulting from intertwined uncertainties regarding model misspecification and mismeasurement of the state of the economy defines the monetary policy landscape. Using the euro area as laboratory this paper explores the design of robust policy guides aiming to maintain stability in...

Part I: Advanced Tutorials -- Supporting Time-Critical Decision Making with Real Time Simulations -- Metamodel-based Robust Simulation-Optimization: An Overview -- Simulation-Based Modelling of a Stochastic Equilibrium -- Part II: Uncertainty Management Using Sequential Parameter Optimization --...

Managing safety of diverse systems requires decision-making under uncertainties and risks. Such systems are typically characterized by spatio-temporal heterogeneities, inter-dependencies, externalities, endogenous risks, discontinuities, irreversibility, practically irreducible uncertainties,...