behavioural models suggested by psychology (i.e., weighted probabilities applied to regret and rejoice theory), and by updating … probability estimations and outcome preferences according to the learning models suggested by neuroscience (i.e., adaptive … learning aimed at reducing surprises), and analogous to Bayesian updating. The search context is derived from experimental …

Research provides some observations about learning from events that appear to be rare or quite unusual. All learning … has uncertain consequences, but learning from rare events is especially problematic. Learners see many idiosyncrasies and … exogenous interference, tendencies that suppress learning on an organizational scale. Rare events also rouse uncertainty and …