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. We find complex intra-group return and volatility connectedness among ASEAN-4 markets and moderate inter-group return and … volatility connectedness between ASEAN-4 and regional and global markets at different time horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013546175
generates endogenous consumption volatility risk. Precautionary savings motives make consumption sensitive to shocks in bad … price and business cycle moments: equity, firm value, and risk-free rate volatility; the equity premium; excess return … predictability; consumption growth predictability; basic moments of consumption, output, and investment; and more. The model also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972901
12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181035
consumption and inflation dynamics. In particular, the means, volatilities, and the correlation structure between consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405156
In this paper, we present effect of the liquidity on risky bonds pricing. The liquidity effect is represented by the adjustment to the single price format. We begin with bid-ask pricing format and it helps to observe effect of the liquidity on each step of pricing. In the first section, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076522
volatility as measured by the VIX. We propose a new estimator for the shape of the nonlinear forecasting relationship that …, revealing flight to safety: expected returns increase for stocks when volatility increases from moderate to high levels, while … risk is a nonlinear function of market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971196
We show that a business-cycle component of consumption growth (dubbed business-cycle consumption) with cycles between 2 … aggregation of returns and consumption growth over suitable horizons. Consistent with our formalization, we show that the factor … loadings associated with consumption growth aggregated over a 2-year horizon have similar pricing ability as those associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904
run component of consumption growth process is proxied by a news based index that is created using a random forest … algorithm. This news index is shown to predict aggregate long term consumption growth with an R-square of 57% and is robust to … model that arises due to measurement error in consumption data and show that this bias term is non-zero. Using a three pass …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819242
finite channel capacity -- affects optimal consumption and investment decisions in an otherwise standard intertemporal model … of portfolio choice. We first explicitly derive optimal consumption and portfolio rules under RI and then show that …-run consumption risk. We also show that the investment horizon matters for portfolio allocation in the presence of RI, even if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057184
I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model with disappointment aversion to investigate the link between downside … consumption risk and expected returns across asset markets. I find that the disappointment model can explain 95% of the cross … considerably improves the fit of consumption-based asset pricing models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975016