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. We find complex intra-group return and volatility connectedness among ASEAN-4 markets and moderate inter-group return and … volatility connectedness between ASEAN-4 and regional and global markets at different time horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013546175
generates endogenous consumption volatility risk. Precautionary savings motives make consumption sensitive to shocks in bad … price and business cycle moments: equity, firm value, and risk-free rate volatility; the equity premium; excess return … predictability; consumption growth predictability; basic moments of consumption, output, and investment; and more. The model also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972901
volatility as measured by the VIX. We propose a new estimator for the shape of the nonlinear forecasting relationship that …, revealing flight to safety: expected returns increase for stocks when volatility increases from moderate to high levels, while … risk is a nonlinear function of market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971196
consumption and inflation dynamics. In particular, the means, volatilities, and the correlation structure between consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405156
In this paper, we present effect of the liquidity on risky bonds pricing. The liquidity effect is represented by the adjustment to the single price format. We begin with bid-ask pricing format and it helps to observe effect of the liquidity on each step of pricing. In the first section, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076522
12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181035
Standard applications of the consumption-based asset pricing model make the assumption that goods and services within … the nondurable consumption bundle are substitutes. We estimate substitution elasticities between different consumption … bundles and show that households cannot substitute energy consumption by consumption of other nondurable goods or services. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850823
We show that a business-cycle component of consumption growth (dubbed business-cycle consumption) with cycles between 2 … aggregation of returns and consumption growth over suitable horizons. Consistent with our formalization, we show that the factor … loadings associated with consumption growth aggregated over a 2-year horizon have similar pricing ability as those associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904
I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model with disappointment aversion to investigate the link between downside … consumption risk and expected returns across asset markets. I find that the disappointment model can explain 95% of the cross … considerably improves the fit of consumption-based asset pricing models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975016
We examine the implications of short-run and long-run consumption risks on the momentum and long-term contrarian … short-run and long-run shocks in consumption growth, we find the otherwise standard intertemporal asset pricing model goes a … of the standard CAPM and the consumption CAPM in explaining these well-documented return behaviors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007492