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We modify a method recently suggested by Weitzman (2012, 2013) for determining a risk-adjusted social discount rate (SDR) term structure consistent with both the (augmented) Ramsey rule and the consumption-based CAPM. Using this approach we estimate SDR for transportation infrastructure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115798
This paper re-examines the validity of using expected values to evaluate the social profitability of public investments under uncertainty. Departing from the usual assumption of an aggregate good, the setting is a small open economy that faces stochastic world prices for tradable goods and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641320
The paper derives the optimal carbon tax in closed-form from an integrated assessment of climate change. The formula shows how carbon, temperature, and economic dynamics quantify the optimal mitigation effort. The model's descriptive power is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economic standard model. I show that a comprehensive evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the discount rate, which is the crucial determinant in balancing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488887
This paper is a revised version of: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=2667972" https://ssrn.com/abstract=2667972.The Analytic Climate Economy (ACE) closes a gap between analytic climate change assessments and quantitative numeric integrated assessment models (IAMs) used in policy advising. Its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896033
Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economic standard model. I show that a comprehensive evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the discount rate, which is the crucial determinant in balancing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110758
The paper analyzes optimal climate policy under uncertainty. It endows a recent quantitative analytic integrated assessment model (IAM) with long-run risk, adapting methods from the asset pricing literature to deal with endogenous climate risk. The model solves in closed-form for general degrees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222601
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863658
Cost of capital rate is a result of risk included in cost of debt rates and cost of equity rates. Generally to estimate cost of capital rates with use of CAPM conception, is used information about general risk indicator, known as beta coefficient and relations between debt and equity rates. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679777
It is widely held that better financial reporting makes investors more confident in their predictions of future cash flows and reduces their required risk premia. The logic is that more information leads necessarily to more certainty, and hence lower subjective estimates of firm "beta" or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033047