This paper describes a set of indicators of systemic risk computed from current market prices of equity and equity index options. It displays results from a prototype version, computed daily from January 2006 to January 2013. The indicators represent a systemic risk event as the realization of...

We offer a multi-period systemic risk assessment framework with which to assess recent liquidity and capital regulatory requirement proposals in a holistic way. Following Morris and Shin (2009), we introduce funding liquidity risk as an endogenous outcome of the interaction between market...

We examine the systemic risk of 61 SIFIs (i.e., 33 G-SIBs and 28 IAIGs) between 2010 and 2023. We estimate SIFI’s CoVaR using a single index model with LASSO variable selection and construct a set of tail risk network-based systemic risk measures for SIFIs. The results show that two shocks...

We examine the impact of the U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on the relationship between climate risk and systemic risk of U.S. global banks. We find that after 2017, investors stopped pricing climate risk into U.S. systemic risk directly, consistent with domestic investors expecting...

Financial crises tend to follow rapid credit expansions. Causality, however, is far from obvious. We show how this pattern arises naturally when financial intermediaries optimally exploit economic rents that drive their franchise value. As this franchise value varies over the business cycle, so...

This paper contributes to the literature by examining whether the age and gender of the firm's top executives influence market-based measures of firm risk. Using data on the S&P 1500 firms, we document that CEO and CFO age and gender have a direct effect on market-based firm risk measures in...

We explore empirically how the time-varying allocation of credit across firms with heterogeneous credit quality matters for financial stability outcomes. Using firm-level data for 55 countries over 1991-2016, we show that the riskiness of credit allocation, captured by Greenwood and Hanson...

This article analyzes the effect of valuations-based capital requirements and concentration risk provisions on the risk-shifting response of the banking sector to monetary easing. It provides a closed economy DSGE model for the Euro zone with costly bank capital and two heterogeneous borrowers....

During the global financial crisis, a large number of banks worldwide either failed or received financial aid thus inflicting substantial losses on the system. We contribute to the early warning literature by constructing a dynamic competing risks hazard model that explores the joint...

This paper predicts downside risks to future real house price growth (house-prices-at-risk or HaR) in 32 advanced and emerging market economies. Through a macro-model and predictive quantile regressions, we show that current house price overvaluation, excessive credit growth, and tighter...