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Observational learning is typically examined when agents have precise information about their position in the sequence … individuals and receive a private signal about the state of the world. We show that social learning is robust to position … uncertainty. Under any sampling rule satisfying a stationarity assumption, learning is complete if signal strength is unbounded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000538
ecological uncertainty but they gain information (learn) about it. We then compare our learning model with the benchmark model of …We introduce learning in a dynamic game of international pollution, with ecological uncertainty. We characterize and … full information, where players know the distribution of ecological uncertainty. We find that uncertainty due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050176
We consider dynamic team production in the presence of uncertainty. Team members receive interim feedback that depends on both their current effort level and the project's uncertain prospects. In this environment, each member can encourage the others by making them more optimistic about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308721
-level uncertainty and imperfect information over their life cycle. We find that firms make non-negligible and positively correlated … demand. The former learning effect, combined with the latter real-options effect, adversely affect firms' entry decisions and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258487
The Global Crisis demonstrated to the world that Ratings Agencies had misled the public about the stability of financial institutions. The Finance literature had decided that it was impossible to have bubbles in financial markets and any surge in the stock market would be self-correcting. Recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543578
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974099
complexity theory, and shows that Keynes employed an understanding of reflexivity in both his philosophical and economic thinking …. This argument is first developed in terms of his moral science conception of economics and General Theory beauty contest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977985
With the financialization of the economy, increasing reliance has been put on statistical models for derivatives pricing and for risk assessment in the day-to-day business of financial operators as well as in financial regulation. This practice had already been criticized from many quarters and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044756
Knight’s risk/uncertainty distinction is reviewed in its original context as a contribution to the theory of profit … entrepreneurship theory. Von Mises distinguishes between class probability (i.e. risk) and case probability (i.e. uncertainty) in … reviewed, focusing on his logical theory of probability in A Treatise on Probability which he subsequently contextualised in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030458
those under full-information rational expectations, we find that assuming the agents are not instantaneously aware of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075017