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present a model in which forecast accuracy and timing are affected by information uncertainty stemming from (i) the presence … of forecast bias and (ii) investors' limited capability to adjust to this bias. We assume that the presence of a bias is … affects the trade-off between timeliness and forecast quality. We find that the optimal forecasting time varies non …
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Risk forecasting is crucial for informed investment decision-making. Moreover, the salience of investment risk increases during economically uncertain times. In this paper, we study how sell-side analysts form expectations of firm risk, under different macroeconomic conditions (low versus high...
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uncertainty, as reflected by greater timeliness with no loss in forecast accuracy. In contrast, analysts have greater difficulty … dealing with heightened market uncertainty, as both timeliness and forecast accuracy decline …
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