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measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in … which agents cannot perfectly observe the state of current productivity, can generate the observed asymmetry in the risk … premium. Key for this result are endogenous fluctuations in uncertainty which induce procyclical variations in agent’s nowcast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129784
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704696
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012878659
measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in … which agents cannot perfectly observe the state of current productivity, can generate the observed asymmetry in the risk … premium. Key for this result are endogenous fluctuations in uncertainty which induce procyclical variations in agent's nowcast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858207
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464503
Contrary to the theoretical principle that higher risk is compensated with higher expected return, the literature shows that low-risk stocks outperform high-risk stocks. Using a large-scale household dataset, we provide an explanation for this puzzling result that the anomalous negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240163
We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based … stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that greater uncertainty has a negative impact on growth of … non-existent or weaker. Our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on employment dynamics, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031613
We quantify disagreement about the economy with ex-ante measures of divergence of opinion among economic forecasters and investigate if economic disagreement has a significant impact on the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks. We find a significant disagreement premium of 7.2% per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856755
We study the development of bank lending in the U.S. after four large jumps in uncertainty using an event study … uncertainty. Lending by smaller banks is also less responsive to increases in uncertainty. Banks with a higher capitalization …-bank holding company. This heterogeneity across banks suggests that declines in bank lending following increases in uncertainty are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252111
I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household … uncertainty shocks are not universally like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty shocks are largely inflationary … role in the transmission of household uncertainty to inflation. I develop an Overlapping Generations New Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208130