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model is estimated for different shock sizes. It is shown, in contrast to the DYCI model, the dynamic quantile estimation of … model makes full use of information embedded in the covariance matrix. Estimation results show that in two recent episodes …
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assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an …
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The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and Frey (2000) where we permit a time-varying...
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