This paper shows that when agents learn from prices, large private uncertainty may result from a small amount of heterogeneity. As in a Phelps-Lucas island model, final producers look at the prices of their local inputs to infer aggregate conditions. However, market linkages between islands make...

No. Even if firms reset their prices more frequently when they face higher uncertainty, monetary policy may not be less effective in boosting real activity when firms become less responsive to monetary policy. In this case, the real effect of monetary policy can be strengthened even though they...

This paper examines the value of direct communication to households about inflation and the uncertainty around inflation statistics. All types of information about inflation are effective at immediately managing inflation expectations, with information about outlooks being more effective and...