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This article aims to build through the collection of inputs from prior research, regulatory input and practitioner's experience, a comprehensive definition of risk.Risk is not measurable uncertainty nor volatility. Risk is a three part concept: (1) risk is the potential that events may have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998705
The paper assesses the most recent performance, persistence and riskiness of contrarian portfolios. Evidence from the major world and European market of France shows that such portfolios appear profitable on average, but their performance is not persistent from one holding period to the next;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000992
Using electronic-markets data, this paper investigates partial determinants of change in Graham's price-earnings ratios (P/E) during US presidential election cycles. We document evidence over six elections, that as the probable winner of the election becomes clearer, markets surprisingly respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028357
We discuss the finding that cross-sectional characteristic based models have yielded portfolios with higher excess monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks listed on the JSE. Under the assumption of general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034895
This work presents an asset pricing model that under rational expectation equilibrium perspective shows how, depending on risk aversion and noise volatility, a risky-asset has one equilibrium price that differs in term of efficiency: an informational efficient one (similar to Campbell and Kyle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913552
We show that the probability of risk parity beating any other portfolio is more than 50 percent. We also prove that if portfolio performance is measured by Sharpe ratio, risk parity is the only maximin portfolio when (1) all assets' future Sharpe ratios are greater than an unknown constant and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905464
I develop a model of statistical arbitrage trading in an environment with "fat-tailed" information. If risk-neutral arbitrageurs are uncertain about the variance of fat-tail shocks and if they implement max-min robust optimization, they will choose to ignore a wide range of pricing errors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907804
This paper investigates how the disclosure tone of earnings conference calls predicts future stock price crash risk. Using U.S. public firm earnings conference call transcripts from 2010 to 2015, we find that firms exhibiting more pessimistic tone during the current year-end call experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910632
Uniswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) and was first launched on November 2, 2018 on the Ethereum mainnet [1] and is part of an Ecosystem of products in Decentralized Finance (DeFi). It replaces a traditional order book type of trading common on centralized exchanges (CEX) with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220350
We investigate the impact of product market competition on firms' systematic risk. Using a measure of total product market similarity, we document a strong negative link between market power and market betas. There is a more than threefold increase in the effect during the most recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225929