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Geopolitical events are widely reported in the press and may influence the risk premium demanded by investors in addition to demand and supply of energy resources. Using the daily geopolitical risk index of Caldara and Iacoviello (2018), we demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867250
In this paper we estimate the skewness of the unconditional distribution of energy returns and test its statistical significance. We compare the performance of traditional and robust tests for symmetry with those based on the implied unconditional skewness in a TGARCH model with Gram-Charlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405890
This study examined the asymmetric effects of major uncertainty and volatility indices (economic policy uncertainty, Chicago Board Options Exchange crude oil volatility, CBOE volatility index, CBOE VIX volatility, and NASDAQ 100 volatility target) on the returns of global energy and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013500979
We estimate the response of domestic oil drilling to uncertainty about oil prices. We measure domestic drilling activity by the weekly number of rigs drilling for oil, and we measure oil uncertainty by implied volatility from options on oil futures. We find that oil uncertainty has a negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225879
This article investigates the effectiveness of TAIEX (Taiwan Stock Exchange) futures, Taiwan 50 futures, and nonfinance nonelectronics subindex (NFNE) futures for cross hedging the price risk of stock sector indices traded on the Taiwan stock exchange. A state-dependent volatility spillover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883272
This paper examines whether economic policy uncertainty (EPU) causes real housing returns in 8 emerging economies for which EPU data are available namely: Brazil, Chile, China, India, Ireland, Russia, South Africa and South Korea. Quarterly data were used for the analysis. The study uses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905243
We revisit the role of time in measuring the price impact of trades using a new empirical method that combines spread decomposition and dynamic duration modeling. Previous studies which have addressed the issue in a vector-autoregressive framework conclude that times when markets are most active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008856379
This paper investigates the prediction power of Economic Policy Uncertainty on three aspects of Bitcoin, particularly the return, volume, and volatility. We employed the Transfer Entropy model with two different regimes: (i) stationary and (ii) non-stationary assumption. We constructed different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864067
We examine the relative risk performance of the Dow Jones Islamic Index (DJIS) and finds that the index outperforms the Dow Jones (DJIM) WORLD Index in terms of risk. Using the most recent Value-at-Risk (VaR) methodologies (RiskMetrics, Student-t APARCH, and skewed Student-t APARCH) on the 1996...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972997
We discuss the finding that cross-sectional characteristic based models have yielded portfolios with higher excess monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks listed on the JSE. Under the assumption of general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034895