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These days it's become convention (reinforced by the media's treatment of wealth) to assess our net worth by tallying up the market value of our financial assets, even though it's more natural and useful to think of our wealth as a stream of dollars over time given the nature of our income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834170
We propose a new, price-based measure of information risk called abnormal idiosyncratic volatility (AIV) that captures information asymmetry faced by uninformed investors. AIV is the idiosyncratic volatility prior to information events in excess of normal levels. Using earnings announcements as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897469
In this paper, I review hedge fund risk using various commonly used measures including market betas, correlations, and porfolio drawdowns. We see a picture emerge that shows hedge funds have historically hedged a fair degree of systematic market risk, especially in the early years, offering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241510
We revisit the role of liquidity risk. We successfully replicate Pastor and Stambaugh's (2003) gamma liquidity risk index and, within their time period, concur with their risk premium estimate. An out-of-their-time-period analysis finds post-time-period returns that are higher and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894394
First externalities risk due to the size of the companies or the principle that large companies are also at risk of bankruptcy (too big to fail) are examined. The problem is illustrated by a case in which extreme risks with negative consequences for savers and investors are taken. If we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110979
Option prices embed predictive content for the outcomes of pending mergers and acquisitions. This is particularly important in merger arbitrage, where deal failure is a key risk. In this paper, I propose a dynamic asset pricing model that exploits the joint information in target stock and option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413251
In this paper, I study individual currency pairs and examine the behavior of the cross section of their carry returns with the USD. Developed and emerging market carry trades yield high Sharpe ratios even after adjusting for transaction costs. I show that carry trade risks carry trade risks are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133935
We investigate the effect of including variance derivatives as calibration and hedging instruments for pricing and hedging exotic structures. This is studied empirically using market data for SPX and VIX derivatives applied in a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113731
Financial volatility risk is addressed through a multiple round evolutionary quantum game equilibrium leading to Multifractal Self-Organized Criticality (MSOC) in the financial returns and in the risk dynamics. The model is simulated and the results are compared with financial volatility data
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122513
We examine the pricing of volatility risk in the cross-section of equity Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) stock returns over the 1996 – 2010 period. We consider both aggregate (systematic) volatility and firm-specific (idiosyncratic) volatility. In contrast to the negative and significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092294