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This chapter puts forward a manual for how to setup and solve a continuous time model that allows to analyze endogenous (1) level and risk dynamics. The latter includes (2) tail risk and crisis probability as well as (3) the Volatility Paradox. Concepts such as (4) illiquidity and liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024265
We present evidence that shocks to household consumption growth are negatively skewed, persistent, countercyclical, and drive asset prices. We construct a parsimonious model where heterogeneous households have recursive preferences. A single state variable drives the conditional cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190
, financial fragility is magnified, and even a moderate negative shock can lead to simultaneous defaults of many interconnected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850795
What determines investors' risk-taking across macroeconomic cycles? Researchers have proposed rational expectations models that introduce countercyclical risk aversion to generate the empirically observed time variation in risk-taking. We test whether systematic deviations from rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848550
I study rollover risk in the wholesale funding market when intermediaries can hold liquidity ex-ante and are subject to fire sales ex-post. I demonstrate that precautionary liquidity restores multiple equilibria in a global rollover game. An intermediate liquidity level supports both the usual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056186
Uncertainty shocks are also risk premium shocks. With countercyclical risk aversion (RA), a positive shock to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854507
We model a safe asset market with investors valuing safety, investors valuing liquidity, and constrained dealers. While safety investors and liquidity investors can interact symbiotically with offsetting trades in times of stress, we show that liquidity investors’ strategic interaction harbors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404549
We model a safe asset market with investors valuing safety, investors valuing liquidity, and constrained dealers. While safety investors and liquidity investors can interact symbiotically with offsetting trades in times of stress, we show that liquidity investors' strategic interaction harbors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336346
Financial markets are central to the transmission of uncertainty shocks. This paper documents a new aspect of the interaction between the two by showing that uncertainty shocks have radically different macroeconomic implications depending on the state financial markets are in when they occur....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472852
shock to the variance of aggregate total factor productivity(macro uncertainty) and to the dispersion of entrepreneurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944962