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Using a heterogeneous-agent, life-cycle model of Social Security claiming, labor supply and saving, we consider the implications of lifespan inequality for Social Security reform. Quantitative experiments show that welfare is maximized when baseline benefits are independent of lifetime earnings,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048744
We explore the benefits of intergenerational risk-sharing through both private funded pensions and via the public debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058155
Despite its centrality in monetary policy, communication is not a focus in social security reform. We investigate the potential for active communication to dissipate apparently widespread public confusion about the future of social security. We implement a simple information treatment in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375249
. The evidence supports the predictions of our model, most notably that investor learning about manager ability weakens when … to the resultant sluggish learning process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245400
intervals by OLS. In this context, changes in the perception of market risk can trigger volatility and bubbles. Consequently …, higher degrees of risk response among traders can have a destabilizing effect on price dynamics. We consider the interaction … of this effect with memory, the speed of learning, and the nature of the forecasting rules …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029069
relationship between inequality of entitlements, mortality risk, and the size of redistribution in a stylized social security … system. We find that mortality risk, when negatively correlated with entitlements, significantly lowers subjects' willingness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184496
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230894
We examine the effects of parameter uncertainty and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when all the … a parsimonious set of prior parameters, the model generates a sizeable equity premium and a low risk-free rate even with … a power utility function, low risk aversion, and absence of persistence in growth rates. Raising the prior uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150931
Observational learning is typically examined when agents have precise information about their position in the sequence … individuals and receive a private signal about the state of the world. We show that social learning is robust to position … uncertainty. Under any sampling rule satisfying a stationarity assumption, learning is complete if signal strength is unbounded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000538
We show that in the formalization of representativeness (Kahneman and Tversky (1972)) developed by Gennaioli and Shleifer (2010), overreaction and confidence are affected by uncertainty, as a news effect interacts with an uncertainty effect. In the time series domain, this interaction emerges in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047820