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Modeling futures market risk simultaneously influenced by macro low-frequency information and daily risk factors is a valuable challenge. We propose a new general framework for it based on the flexible GARCH-MIDAS model. It uses a skewed t distribution to describe the asymmetry of long and short...
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. Bitcoin contributes only 2.55% to the connectedness, while the wheat volatility index accounts for 12.51% of the total … transmitter to the wheat volatility, while being the spillover receiver from the oil and corn volatilities. The findings suggest …
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This paper examines the effect of different dimensions of uncertainty on expectations of WTI crude oil futures momentum traders at a daily level. We consider two concepts of uncertainty and two momentum trading indicators based on technical analysis. In addition, we also use wavelet techniques...
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whether cryptocurrency market uncertainties can help to explain and forecast volatilities in precious metal markets. By using … volatility forecasts of COMEX gold and silver futures markets. The in-sample results demonstrate the significant impacts of … cryptocurrency uncertainty on the volatilities of precious metal futures markets, and the out-of-sample evidence further confirms the …
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