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Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025361
frameworks and the lack of tools for estimating and managing these effects. This research aims to measure the volatility of … models, the results show that the PARCH model is the best for fixed-income indices volatility modeling. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015450644
calculated. Therefore, in this paper, we review the literature on global risk, uncertainty, and volatility measures drawing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277
credit spreads and corporate bond volatility are highly correlated with economic uncertainty. Our model-implied risk premiums …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853481
Managed volatility strategies adjust market exposure in inverse relation to a risk estimate, to stabilize realized … portfolio volatility through time. Our paper examines strategy performance from an investment practitioner perspective. Using … compared with a buy-and-hold benchmark, on average, but with some variation. Managed volatility strategies achieve robust tail …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900599
The aim of this paper is to analyze the relationship between different types of uncertainty and stock returns of the renewable energy and the oil & gas sectors. We use the quantile regression approach developed by Koenker and d'Orey (1987; 1994) to assess which uncertainties are the potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510024
The aim of this paper is to analyze the relationship between different types of uncertainty and stock returns of the renewable energy and the oil & gas sectors. We use the quantile regression approach developed by Koenker and d’Orey (1987; 1994) to assess which uncertainties are the potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233971
Applying Ismailov and Rossi (2018), I newly construct the Korea FX uncertainty based on the density distribution of historical forecast errors. This uncertainty index properly captures the rare but significant events in the Korean currency market and provides information distinct from other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095570
I use index prices and options to estimate the pricing kernel's elasticity, which equals the market price of risk. I show that my estimate predicts future market returns, is priced in a cross-sectional analysis, and that it is highly correlated to business cycle variables. Building on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858224
Utilizing VAR-DCC-MVGARCH model and volatility spillover index, we examine international spillovers and spillbacks … between SMICs and the U.S. Results show that SMICs and the U.S. present dynamic and asymmetric volatility spillovers and … conditional variances are stronger than previous short-term innovations. Volatility spillbacks from China, South Africa and Mexico …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863678