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Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025361
calculated. Therefore, in this paper, we review the literature on global risk, uncertainty, and volatility measures drawing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277
Managed volatility strategies adjust market exposure in inverse relation to a risk estimate, to stabilize realized … portfolio volatility through time. Our paper examines strategy performance from an investment practitioner perspective. Using … compared with a buy-and-hold benchmark, on average, but with some variation. Managed volatility strategies achieve robust tail …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900599
more foreign assets, as predicted by the theory. Despite the positive effects of beta, a country's idiosyncratic volatility …, but also future consumption growth. High-volatility countries have worse net foreign asset positions, suggesting that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003715562
It is difficult to predict stock market returns but relatively easy to predict market volatility. But volatility … produces a formula in which returns become a function of volatility and therefore become somewhat more predictable. We show … strategy also smooths out volatility variation over time, reduces the kurtosis of daily returns, reduces maximum drawdown, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138918
We construct downside variance risk premiums from the crude oil and gold option data and use them as proxies for market downside uncertainty risks. We find that these downside variance risk premiums contain commodity market specifc pricing information. Further- more, the gold market's exposure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839629
This paper examines the effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on stock-bond correlations for the US market. We devise a general framework which distinguishes a positive shock from a negative one and nests either as its special case. The results show that innovations in the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024205
This paper investigates the impact of innovations in US economic policy uncertainty on the co-movements of, respectively, the Shanghai A-share, the Shenzhen A-share, the Shanghai B-share and the Shenzhen B-share market, with the US stock market. We show that it is absolute changes in the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994414
This paper examined the association between various measures of earnings quality and stock return volatility of … accrual quality, conservatism, earnings persistence, predictability and smoothness. The stock return volatility was measured … with idiosyncratic volatility. Multilevel linear regression found that accrual quality and earnings persistence are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171726
We study the interactions between cryptocurrencies, stock markets, and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) by means of a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) framework. We rely on two market factors to model the comovements of returns within cryptocurrencies and stock markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254302