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I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond returns. The main predictor factors are associated with point … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
-form expressions for the vector of expected bond returns and for the covariance matrix of bond returns based on a general class of well … heteroskedasticity in bond returns. An empirical application involving a data set with 15 fixed income securities with different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077636
Empirically testing a bond portfolio hedging model is usually carried out when proposing a new model or to compare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403799
is most needed. We examine bond correlation using a broad sample of US corporate bonds. We find bond correlation to be … higher during the financial crisis in 2008. Increased bond correlation results from higher correlation between corporate bond … risk factors. Risk factor correlation increases when investor sentiment worsens. This suggests that corporate bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777926
We empirically investigate the importance of parameter uncertainty to bond investors. Using a Bayesian approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109502
Changes in credit supply induce large and frequent variations in households' access to unsecured debt. They generate a novel financial precautionary motive, which compounds the classical motive associated with idiosyncratic income risk, as borrowers accumulate risk-free bonds to hedge against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239541
How does uncertainty affect the costs of raising finance in the bond market and via bank loans? Empirically, this paper … finds that heightened uncertainty is accompanied by an increase in corporate bond yields and a decrease in bank lending … the value of the lending relationship and lowers the lending rate. Bond investors demand compensation for the increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892132
We present a theory in which limited risk sharing of idiosyncratic labor income risk plays a key role in determining … current labor market conditions (as measured by labor market tightness or the job-finding rate) and future bond excess returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308514
qualitative and quantitative methodologies, such as bond portfolio managers and statistical analysis.The explaining variables for … bond liquidity risk are: currency, exchange, issue date, maturity, coupon type, coupon, duration, yield, rating Moody … of liquidity risk are whether the bonds are listed, the default of the bond and maturity.The fitting of the model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157076
corporate bond and stock markets. Using a comprehensive bond dataset, we observe a significant momentum effect in corporate bond … returns and bond credit spread changes. The momentum effect in bond total returns, however, is confined to low-grade bonds and … bond credit spread, not the total return, is a more appropriate proxy to examine the response of bond prices to new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918313