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Contrary to the theoretical principle that higher risk is compensated with higher expected return, the literature shows that low-risk stocks outperform high-risk stocks. Using a large-scale household dataset, we provide an explanation for this puzzling result that the anomalous negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240163
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
The paper investigates the effect of monetary policy uncertainty on stock market volatility. Higher monetary uncertainty leads to lower stock market volatility both in sample and out of sample. Monetary policy uncertainty matters more for the volatility of big firms, profitable firms and past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307935
In this paper, we examine the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and future returns around the firm-specific news announcements in the Chinese stock market following. The results show that the pricing of non-news idiosyncratic volatility is more strongly negative compared to news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500235
Geopolitical events are widely reported in the press and may influence the risk premium demanded by investors in addition to demand and supply of energy resources. Using the daily geopolitical risk index of Caldara and Iacoviello (2018), we demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867250
We study the relationship between stock market return expectations and risk aversion of individuals and test whether the joint effects arising from the interaction of these two variables affect investment decisions. Using data from the Dutch National Bank Household Survey, we find that risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034230
In the paper we present the application of risk neutral measure estimation in the analysis of the index WIG20 from Polish stock market. The risk neutral measure is calculated from the process of the options on that index. We assume that risk neutral measure is the mixture of lognormal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468362
It is widely believed that stocks with high idiosyncratic risk exhibit stronger anomalies because arbitrageurs avoid holding these stocks due to diversification concerns, allowing deviations of prices from fundamental values. In this paper we test this proposition using hedge fund holding data....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133780