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We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risks. The cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium if a stock's return (liquidity) is lowest at the same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
Purpose - Motivated by the significant role of uncertainty in affecting investment decisions and China's economic leadership in Asia, this paper investigates the predictive role of exposure to Chinese economic policy uncertainty at the individual stock level in large Asian markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015198264
This study investigates the presence of intraday patterns in the eleven sectors of the United States (U.S.) economy. Key contributions are in terms of assessing (i) risk and return patterns at specific time periods of the trading session on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), (ii) whether a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231110
We develop a four-factor model intended to capture size, value, and credit rating transition patterns in excess returns for a panel of predominantly mid- and large-cap entities. Using credit transition matrices and rating histories from 48 US issuers, we provide evidence to support a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242861
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
The prevailing view of implied volatility comovements, IVC, defined as the correlation between a firm's implied volatility and the market's implied volatility, is that they indicate the presence of systematic volatility risk to the firm's investors. We take a different stance and conjecture that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900702
A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price estimates that are of the same sign and similar in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913073
This paper investigates how the downside tail risk of stock returns is differentiated cross-sectionally. Stock returns follow heavy-tailed distributions with downside tail risk determined by the tail shape and scale. If safety-first investors are concerned with sufficiently large downside...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084394
Firms with lower profitability have lower expected returns because such firms perform better than expected when market volatility increases. The better-than-expected performance arises because unprofitable firms are distressed and volatile, their equity resembles a call option on the assets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855868