Showing 1 - 10 of 24,055
This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000053
assets do not exhibit the U-shaped intraday volatility pattern that has been documented for US equities, even if only main … trading hours are considered. Intraday spikes in volatility are driven by the open or close of the market for the respective … volatility patterns, and US macroeconomic news account for a sizable fraction of jump-driven volatility. For some -- but not all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022677
We investigate the determinants of international stock market co-movements, shedding light on the relevance of politics-related factors. We propose a new characterization for the link connecting politics and financial markets, disentangling two different components: political risk and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890799
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465457
, stock market volatility, and geopolitical risks. In particular, our aim is to determine whether these forms of uncertainty … volatility, which impact negatively in share prices, both in the short and long term. Regarding Brazil, the global uncertainty in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489744
Innovations in volatility constitute a potentially important asset pricing risk factor that can be tested using the … world to U.S. based equity variance risk. We explore implications for global risk premiums and asset return comovements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848035
I investigate the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), proxied by the news-based measure of Baker et al. (2016), in the cross-section of individual stock returns in 23 countries. I estimate a stock's beta toward its country-specific EPU index (βEPU) and show that stocks in the lowest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838386
This study empirically examines the role of risk sharing between taxable investors and the government on the relation between capital gains taxes and expected returns. Specifically, using an international panel from 26 countries over the period 1990 to 2004, we find evidence that the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006684