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, stock market volatility, and geopolitical risks. In particular, our aim is to determine whether these forms of uncertainty … volatility, which impact negatively in share prices, both in the short and long term. Regarding Brazil, the global uncertainty in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489744
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
We examine time-varying correlations among stock market returns, implied volatility and policy uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058577
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880
We analyze whether the pricing of volatility risk depends on the asset pricing framework applied in the tests, the … specified volatility proxies, and the portfolio sorts used for spanning the asset universe. For this purpose, we compare the … results using a macroeconomic and fundamental based asset pricing model using three proxies of volatility and uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831664
Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative relationship between equity ivol and expected returns. We show that the effect is caused by the nonlinear payoff of equity and the law of one price, and is present in all but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
Actuaries manage risk, and asset price volatility is the most fundamental parameter in models of risk management. This … study utilizes recent advances in econometric theory to decompose total asset price volatility into a smooth, continuous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940403
link between monetary policy rate uncertainty and equity return volatility, both in theory and data. This paper uses … for equity variance and volatility at weekly, monthly and even quarterly horizons. The findings imply that market views of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925787