Showing 1 - 10 of 18,885
This paper shows that increased volatility of Örm-level productivity can push the nominal interest rate to its lower bound with large amplification effects on macroeconomic aggregates. The framework combines a simple canonical Önancial accelerator model, time varying risk shocks, and a zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231163
committed to low inflation has no alternative. Higher inflation targets, instead, permit both full employment and high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806268
and transitory changes in their idiosyncratic productivity. Upon the arrival of a productivity shock, a firm's uncertainty … spikes up and then fades with learning until the arrival of the next shock. These uncertainty cycles, when paired with menu …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857180
This paper develops a micro-founded general equilibrium model of the financial system composed of ultimate borrowers, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood of governmental bailouts on leverage, interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122330
properly accounts for asset pricing facts. I find that the Ramsey optimal monetary policy yields an inflation rate above 3 ….5% and inflation volatility close to 1.5%. The same model calibrated to a counterfactually low equity premium implies an … optimal inflation rate close to zero and inflation volatility less than 10 basis points, consistent with much of the existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014250
and inflation (short and long-term) on the other hand. Combining both data sets, factor analysis delivers (1) an … international stock market factor, (2) a common European uncertainty factor and (3) an US-inflation uncertainty factor. -- monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009548349
This paper discusses how central banking is evolving in light of recent experience, with particular emphasis on the incorporation of uncertainty into policy decision-making. The sort of post-crisis uncertainty that central banks are dealing with today is more profound than that which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414864
things being same, a same-magnitude oil-price shock has greater effect on inflation expectations in post-crisis period than … inflation expectations than a negative (decreasing) oil price shock. We conclude that FED's greater focus on output …We investigate the possible asymmetric response of inflation expectations to oil price and policy uncertainty shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894241
slack and inflation - a cornerstone of monetary policy - is itself subject to continuous reassessment. Second, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175442
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the nature of professionals’ inflation forecasts inattentiveness. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013178028