This paper examines risk transmission and migration among six US measures of credit and market risk during the full period 2004-2011 period and the 2009-2011 recovery subperiod, with a focus on four sectors related to the highly volatile oil price. There are more long-run equilibrium risk...

This paper examines risk transmission and migration among six US measures of credit and market risk during the full period 2004-2011 period and the 2009-2011 recovery subperiod, with a focus on four sectors related to the highly volatile oil price. There are more long-run equilibrium risk...

This study explores the topic of the predictability of direct real estate prices in the short-run and the risks facing investors via a case study. Two models are estimated using heteroscedastic and autocorrelation robust ML method. Possible structural shifts of the models are examined. The one...

The article is devoted to estimating the uncertainty parameters of Russian GDP on history, that arises as a result of revisions and refinements of data over time. A brief review of the reasons for the revisions allows us to form an understanding of their necessity and importance. For analysis,...

Market-driven defaults, such as Archegos, made manifest the dangerous interplay between leverage and wrong way risk (WWR) and the egregious impact of this non-linear dynamics on the credit loss distribution. In the following, Fabrizio Anfuso generalises the WWR exposure model introduced in...

In the aftermath of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC), scholars and policymakers turned their attention to the role of uncertainty in amplifying the effects of economic or financial shocks on economic activity. A growing literature has focused on addressing this question. Most works find...

Risk assessments often encounter extreme settings with very few or no occurrences in reality. Inferences about risk indicators in such settings face the problem of insufficient data. Extreme value theory is particularly well suited for handling this type of problems. This paper uses a...

The literature has so far focused on the risk-return tradeoff in equity markets and ignored alternative risky assets. This paper examines the presence and significance of an intertemporal relation between expected return and risk in the foreign exchange market. The paper provides new evidence on...

The aim of this paper is to present model risk situations and a methodology to measure and quantify the associated risk at model level, with different types of assumptions. Then, considering that in practice, a model risk management at model level is hardly feasible, this paper also outlines a...

We characterize time-varying disaster risk using interbank rates and their options. The identification of disaster risk has remained a significant challenge due to the rarity of macroeconomic disasters. We make an identification assumption that macroeconomic disasters coincide with banking...